July 28th 2006.
Recent press report:
"Honda is having second
thoughts about hybrid power trains.
CEO Takeo Fukui
isn't rushing to fill the automaker's lineup with
the high-mileage technology.
While hybrids
may have great short term potential, he said that it
would be hard to get the technology
into the general
acceptance unless production costs are reduced. There
has to also exist a good
business equation,
and that is hard to justify right now. We'll probably have
more than the current Insight,
Accord, and Civic hybrids,
he thought, but when that will be remains an open
question.
Besides, he added,
the hybrid is not the only solution. Honda, Fukui said,
is looking at a range of other
options, "including
ethanol and diesel."
What bothers me is the way
people keep saying that hybrids are "powered by gasoline
and electricity".
While technically
correct, that's misleading. Electricity is not an
energy resource like gasoline and diesel, or coal, or wood,
or charcoal briquettes,
or the motion of waves, or the wind, or even the
sun, which is ultimately the source of everything.
Electricity is only
a means of energy transfer. Hybrids might be powered
by gasoline and electricity, but they are
fuelled by gasoline
alone.
All the electricity
in a hybrid must ultimately come from burning gasoline.
How can it not?
To make it go
at all, you have to fill it up with gasoline like any
other car.
You can't fill the standard
hybrid with electricity. And now that some misguided
people like Al Gore, who is either very stupid
or dishonestly clever,
are pushing plug in hybrids, guess what?
That power, having lost
50% of its efficiency in conversion and transmission,
will have to come from coal, oil, or natural gas.
The hybrid camp
will now point out that some of the electrical power
is from "regenerative braking":
The conversion
of the car's kinetic energy in its braking system,
through the motor/generator into more charge for the battery.
This sounds like a
bonus.
But you don't
have to be a rocket scientist to realise that:
"what goes
up, must come down", or,
"for every reaction
there is an equal and opposite reaction".
Electricity can be generated
through braking only if the car is moving and, as
we have already established,
the hybrid car
moves in the first place only by burning gasoline.
No, sorry, but
the Prius and its kind are all gasoline cars. The
point of the hybrid system - and, in fairness, the one
that
Toyota would acknowledge
- is that the electric motor and its associated
trickery simply improve the efficiency of the internal
combustion engine
we know and love. This is a good thing if you like
economy or if you're suffering some misplaced guilt
about the consumption
of fossil fuels. But you're still using them, and
with hybrid cars those supplies will still eventually run
out,
just not quite as soon
This is what
bothers me about hybrid cars.
Not that they're
over-complicated, too heavy, too capital intensive
and, in the long run, undoubtedly more difficult and therefore
expensive, to maintain,
but that they're helping to propagate totally misguided
notions about the way we should use our oil reserves.
The sort of people
who champion the hybrid car are those who would
say that burning gasoline and diesel is a bad thing, that
the
emissions clog
up the climate, drown polar bears and give people
diseases, that the oil business causes wars, corrupts
the
global economy
and is at the root of corporate imperialism.
So why, then,
are they trying to eke out the worlds' supply of oil?
Maybe the solution
is to buy an old straight eight Packard or a Hummer
H1, fill it with gasoline and burn the stuff as
quickly as possible.
The sooner we
do that, the sooner the latest wave of young engineers
and physicists will have no choice but to come up with
something better.