To state
that climate change will be "catastrophic" hides a cascade
of value-laden assumptions which do not emerge from
empirical or theoretical science.
Is any amount
of climate change catastrophic?
Catastrophic for whom, for where,
and by when?
What index is being used to measure
the catastrophe?
The language of fear and terror
operates as an ever-weakening vehicle for effective communication
or inducement for
behavioural change.
"Everyone seems to be cheering a clampdown on 4x4s - even 4x4 owners themselves.
I went to a Friends
of the Earth meeting the other day, just to find out what the purveyors of
perfidy were up to and there were their
wealthy supporters hiding their
SUVs in the supermarket car park across the road and cooing
their approval as the local socialist
MP posited higher taxes for 4x4s.
Think about a flock of turkeys voting for an early Christmas.
Recently, Sir
Nicholas Stern published his 700-page report into the
economics of climate change. Much of the subsequent debate
has been characterised by sanctimonious
finger-pointing at the middle classes, cheap airline flights
and 4x4s.
This was accompanied
by a very real sense of déjà vu for those
of us who have followed the post-war baby boomers through
the
decades. They've had the best
of times, a free education, the contraceptive pill, the
Swinging Sixties, the flower
power, the drugs and the E-types.
They've enjoyed full employment, the white heat of technology,
unprecedented consumerism
and rising house prices, and
as they've aged they've made sure that their guilts, regrets,
fears and bogeymen are everybody's
concern, be they divorce, the
demise of index-linked pensions, nuclear war, Chilean apples,
HIV, the new ice age or, now,
global warming.
While no one
should doubt the seriousness of the greenhouse effect, one wonders if we
are witnessing yet another example of this
generations guilt-obsessed, hair-tearing
histrionics. An example of the hysteria is the plain
bad science and even worse economics
paraded as unassailable fact
in the media.
Earlier this summer,
Sir Nicholas Stern said:
"To tackle this problem we will
need all the economics we have learned and then some more."
Few will dare
to criticise green taxes that could curtail air travel
and 4x4s, but no one appears to be sure what these taxes
will
pay for, whether they will deter
the biggest polluters and whether they will merely serve
to make an economy less competitive
and usher companies and jobs to less
green pastures overseas.
This week, the
ecumenical Christian group the Iona Community, suggested
that such taxes are a good thing in themselves.
Yet even if God thinks that green
taxes are incontrovertibly good, we've yet to hear what
He thinks we should do with them.
Two months ago,
General Motors announced that the reluctance of western
governments to invest in a hydrogen fuel infrastructure
had persuaded it to launch its
forthcoming fuel-cell vehicles in China, where the government
is investing heavily in nuclear power,
facilitating a carbon-free hydrogen
economy. So can we really trust our Government to invest
the green windfall in effective
carbon-neutral technology? Green
taxes on everything means there is no environmental choice,
merely more expenditure,
inflationary pressure on the
economy and taxpayers enmeshed in ignorance, envy and
hatred of each other.